WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	89		Excitement	8.3 [21]		MVP	Courtney Williams (CHI): +67.0%
Indiana Fever	87		Comeback	1.6 [77]		LVP	Alanna Smith (CHI): -28.2%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0.67	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.42,0.67	0.29	0.36	-0.03	17	82%	0.77	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.01	10	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Bertsch	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	4	60%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dana Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	11	57%	0.10	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.03
Marina Mabrey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,-0.05	0.07	-0.12	0.00	15	53%	0.11	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Alanna Smith	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	4	0%	-0.16	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.24	0.24	0.02	16	71%	0.51	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Grace Berger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.10	-0.01	21	57%	0.14	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Queen Egbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	5	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	WNBA	CHI	IND	WNBA
this game	16.1	13.9	14.8	111.2	108.7	101.2
season	14.9	15.1		99.3	99.8
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.6	19.9	15.1	18.0	16.1
IND	14.6	14.6	12.9	13.5	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	76%	21%	2.9%	0.0%	60.6%	53.6%	50.0%
IND	0%	72%	24%	4.4%	0.0%	58.2%	56.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	11	86%	5	70%	1	100%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	7	86%	3	50%	0	0%
Morgan Bertsch	0	0%	3	33%	1	150%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	9	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	13	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	1	0%
Sky	0	0%	52	61%	14	54%	2	50%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	13	62%	3	117%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	14	64%	5	50%	2	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	3	67%	3	33%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	2	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	1	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	49	58%	16	56%	3	0%