WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	80		Excitement	7.8 [34]		MVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): +33.7%
Las Vegas Aces	88		Comeback	1.8 [188]		LVP	Candace Parker (LVA): -19.1%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	18	50%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Aliyah Boston	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.19	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Maya Caldwell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lexie Hull	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Queen Egbo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.02	2	75%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.03
Kelsey Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.07	-0.10	-0.07	17	38%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.22	0.04	13	74%	0.44	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.01
A'ja Wilson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	17	59%	0.25	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	62%	0.18	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	16	44%	0.14	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.11
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	4	37%	0.03	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kierstan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	4	10%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LVA	WNBA	IND	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.8	95.2	110.0	101.2
season	15.1	14.1		99.8	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		95.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	13.5	14.6	16.3	14.9
LVA	11.6	12.6	16.4	17.0	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	4%	78%	17%	1.3%	0.0%	41.0%	46.2%	0.0%
LVA	0%	83%	15%	1.5%	0.0%	42.7%	60.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	12	25%	6	83%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	13	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	2	125%	2	0%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	13	23%	2	50%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	3	0%	13	46%	0	0%	1	0%
Fever	3	0%	61	41%	13	46%	1	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	10	65%	2	50%	1	100%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	16	47%	1	100%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	9	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	13	19%	3	83%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	3	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Kierstan Bell	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	55	43%	10	60%	1	100%