WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	88		Excitement	10.2 [5]		MVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): +45.0%
New York Liberty	89		Comeback	113.9 [4]		LVP	Jonquel Jones (NYL): -18.6%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0.39	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39	0.28	0.13	0.02	16	75%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.14	0.00	12	66%	0.39	1	-0.06	11	91%	-0.03
Brittney Sykes	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	8	68%	0.26	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.05
Abby Meyers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shakira Austin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	8	37%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.10
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	-0.09	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.19,0.14,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	-0.00	15	47%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	6	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.55,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.26	0.22	0.04	19	69%	0.59	3	-0.14	7	86%	-0.02
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.04	0.22	-0.02	12	41%	0.26	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.22
Betnijah Laney	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.02	-0.00	11	71%	0.22	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.3,0.09	0.09	-0.06	0.17	0.02	17	40%	0.32	4	-0.23	11	91%	0.06
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	4	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nyara Sabally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marine Johann�s	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYL	WNBA	WAS	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.8	14.5	14.8	101.1	97.8	101.2
season	14.9	14.4		99.1	108.8
opponent	15.3	14.6		97.7	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.7	16.4	18.6	14.4	15.8
NYL	12.6	14.4	15.8	15.0	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	3%	70%	22%	5.8%	0.0%	56.2%	63.3%	25.0%
NYL	0%	73%	21%	6.8%	0.0%	38.7%	70.0%	40.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	14	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	1	0%	7	50%	2	100%	2	50%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	4	75%	4	75%	0	0%
Abby Meyers	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	9	50%	4	50%	1	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	3	50%	2	50%	1	0%
Mystics	2	0%	48	56%	15	63%	4	25%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	12	54%	6	100%	1	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	9	33%	2	50%	1	100%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	9	72%	2	75%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	10	10%	4	50%	3	33%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Nyara Sabally	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johann�s	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	53	39%	15	70%	5	40%