WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	74		Excitement	7.7 [42]		MVP	Jordin Canada (LAS): +25.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	76		Comeback	7.5 [19]		LVP	Crystal Dangerfield (DAL): -18.4%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.23	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.17	-0.01	16	64%	0.36	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.06
Satou Sabally	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.08	-0.06	14	42%	0.23	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02
Kalani Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	1	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Awak Kuier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Veronica Burton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Teaira McCowan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	33%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Maddy Siegrist	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,-0.05,-0.18	-0.06	-0.16	-0.04	9	39%	-0.04	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.13,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.01	10	64%	0.31	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.10
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	18	51%	0.20	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	6	33%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Destanni Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.06	0.02	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.03
Rae Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Karlie Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAS	WNBA	DAL	LAS	WNBA
this game	13.4	15.0	14.8	86.0	91.6	101.2
season	14.4	15.2		105.9	96.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		99.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	10.4	14.6	13.9	14.9	13.4
LAS	16.2	14.0	12.8	17.6	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	3%	80%	16%	1.4%	50.0%	45.5%	36.4%	0.0%
LAS	0%	80%	16%	4.1%	0.0%	38.1%	29.2%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	14	61%	2	50%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	12	37%	2	50%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Awak Kuier	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	13	54%	2	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	5	50%	3	33%	1	0%
Wings	2	50%	56	46%	11	36%	1	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	67%	3	0%	1	100%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	15	53%	3	33%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	4	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Destanni Henderson	0	0%	9	67%	3	50%	2	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	59	38%	12	29%	3	33%