WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	67		Excitement	7.8 [32]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +39.4%
Los Angeles Sparks	61		Comeback	2.3 [37]		LVP	Azurá Stevens (LAS): -20.7%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39	0.14	0.25	-0.01	20	62%	0.49	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Bridget Carleton	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	10	58%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Lindsay Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	26%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Dorka Juhász	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Nikolina Milic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	10	45%	0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	11	33%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karlie Samuelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.01	6	75%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	56%	0.17	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.07	0.01	14	62%	0.19	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Rae Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Destanni Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	8	45%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.09
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	9	22%	-0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Azurá Stevens	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.03	8	0%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAS	WNBA	MIN	LAS	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.1	14.8	84.8	74.4	101.2
season	14.6	15.2		98.2	96.9
opponent	14.4	15.2		99.3	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	14.0	13.7	16.5	14.7
LAS	13.8	14.6	17.0	15.1	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	61%	39%	0.0%	0.0%	46.3%	38.5%	0.0%
LAS	0%	65%	32%	3.2%	0.0%	46.2%	42.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	12	62%	8	62%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	4	75%	6	50%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	4	25%	5	20%	0	0%
Dorka Juhász	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	3	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	8	56%	2	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	9	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	41	46%	26	38%	0	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	4	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	2	0%	5	80%	1	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	11	64%	3	33%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	2	125%	2	50%	0	0%
Destanni Henderson	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	5	80%	2	0%	1	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	4	25%	5	20%	0	0%
Azurá Stevens	0	0%	8	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	40	46%	20	42%	2	0%