WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	92		Excitement	9.1 [11]		MVP	Dana Evans (CHI): +94.4%
Chicago Sky	90		Comeback	6.9 [31]		LVP	Courtney Williams (CHI): -24.4%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0.66	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.66	0.07	0.58	-0.01	9	65%	0.72	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Kelsey Mitchell	0.50	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.5	0.05	0.42	-0.02	13	48%	0.53	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Victoria Vivians	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.07	0.00	9	89%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	10	70%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Kristy Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Maya Caldwell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Queen Egbo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grace Berger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.06	0.03	-0.10	-0.01	10	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.62,0.94	0.94	0.20	0.72	-0.03	14	64%	0.94	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.15
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.32	0.09	-0.02	22	77%	0.60	4	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Robyn Parks	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.04	0.00	6	108%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sika Kon�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alanna Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.20	-0.11	-0.06	8	0%	-0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	WNBA	IND	CHI	WNBA
this game	17.1	15.5	14.8	127.8	120.0	101.2
season	15.1	14.9		99.8	99.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		102.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.1	18.5	14.3	18.0	17.1
CHI	15.0	16.8	15.7	14.6	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	69%	23%	7.8%	0.0%	54.5%	56.7%	60.0%
CHI	0%	81%	15%	4.4%	0.0%	55.5%	85.0%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	4	25%	3	67%	2	100%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	7	21%	5	50%	1	100%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	7	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	8	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	6	50%	2	100%	2	0%
Fever	0	0%	44	55%	15	57%	5	60%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dana Evans	0	0%	8	19%	4	125%	2	100%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	20	72%	2	125%	0	0%
Robyn Parks	0	0%	6	108%	0	0%	0	0%
Sika Kon�	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	6	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	7	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	55	55%	10	85%	3	67%