WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	103		Excitement	10.7 [3]		MVP	Aliyah Boston (IND): +103.0%
Chicago Sky	108		Comeback	8.0 [33]		LVP	Elizabeth Williams (CHI): -16.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	1.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.45,1.03,1.03,1.03,1.03,1.03,1.03	0.29	0.81	0.07	15	81%	1.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0.23	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	6	93%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Kristy Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	12	57%	0.25	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Queen Egbo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.03,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.15	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
NaLyssa Smith	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Grace Berger	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alanna Smith	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.74	0.74	0.23	0.52	0.01	9	90%	0.74	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6	0.60	0.16	0.44	0.00	16	59%	0.60	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.15	0.36	0.01	18	57%	0.54	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.25	0.14	0.05	15	72%	0.36	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.04
Sika Kon�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Courtney Williams	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robyn Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	7	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	WNBA	IND	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.9	14.6	14.8	114.4	124.1	101.2
season	15.1	14.9		99.8	99.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		102.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	16.4	17.3	15.5	15.9
CHI	13.4	15.2	15.1	16.5	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	4%	66%	22%	8.2%	116.7%	60.4%	56.2%	50.0%
CHI	1%	62%	29%	7.9%	100.0%	48.9%	65.9%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	2	100%	8	62%	2	100%	3	100%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	6	92%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	8	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	150%	8	50%	3	50%	1	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	5	50%	3	50%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	5	60%	2	100%	2	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	3	117%	48	60%	16	56%	6	50%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	5	90%	2	75%	2	100%
Dana Evans	1	100%	6	25%	8	75%	1	100%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	13	38%	3	117%	2	50%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	11	68%	4	50%	0	0%
Sika Kon�	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	6	42%	2	75%	0	0%
Robyn Parks	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	4	25%	2	0%	1	0%
Sky	1	100%	47	49%	22	66%	6	67%