WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	84		Excitement	8.2 [23]		MVP	Jackie Young (LVA): +32.7%
Indiana Fever	80		Comeback	16.9 [27]		LVP	NaLyssa Smith (IND): -30.9%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.33	0.11	0.22	-0.00	15	56%	0.36	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Candace Parker	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.27	0.06	0.21	-0.00	5	54%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.07
Chelsea Gray	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	15	55%	0.23	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
A'ja Wilson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.1	0.17	-0.06	0.01	18	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Alysha Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kiah Stokes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	15	28%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.12	0.01	10	75%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.19	0.19	0.22	-0.04	-0.00	16	63%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	4	70%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.11
Queen Egbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grace Berger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	14	31%	-0.13	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	IND	WNBA	LVA	IND	WNBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.8	103.7	97.6	101.2
season	14.1	15.1		109.9	99.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	95.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	14.8	13.6	14.5	14.2	14.3
IND	14.3	15.6	14.8	15.8	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	75%	21%	4.2%	0.0%	45.4%	56.7%	33.3%
IND	0%	87%	8%	4.2%	0.0%	49.2%	100.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	0	0%	9	50%	5	60%	1	100%
Candace Parker	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	10	45%	4	87%	1	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	12	75%	5	20%	1	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	14	21%	1	100%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	54	45%	15	57%	3	33%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	7	71%	3	83%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	13	62%	1	150%	2	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	5	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	13	31%	0	0%	1	0%
Fever	0	0%	62	49%	6	100%	3	0%