WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	99		Excitement	10.3 [4]		MVP	Lexie Brown (LAS): +81.8%
Phoenix Mercury	93		Comeback	4.3 [38]		LVP	Chiney Ogwumike (LAS): -11.7%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lexie Brown	0.82	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.23,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.82,0.82	0.29	0.53	0.00	16	79%	0.87	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Nneka Ogwumike	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.12	-0.04	15	55%	0.33	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.05
Layshia Clarendon	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	6	73%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.01	17	44%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Karlie Samuelson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.07	0.03	4	82%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Dearica Hamby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Zia Cooke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joyner Holmes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chiney Ogwumike	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69	0.69	0.15	0.50	-0.03	13	63%	0.77	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.10
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.11	0.20	0.01	12	76%	0.47	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	14	56%	0.23	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.24	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Shey Peddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	40%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brianna Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	PHO	WNBA	LAS	PHO	WNBA
this game	16.3	14.8	14.8	115.1	106.9	101.2
season	15.2	15.6		96.9	96.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		106.4	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.3	15.0	17.8	17.9	16.3
PHO	13.7	15.8	13.7	15.6	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	60%	37%	2.7%	0.0%	56.7%	51.8%	50.0%
PHO	5%	54%	36%	4.9%	33.3%	66.7%	59.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	9	72%	6	83%	1	100%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	9	56%	6	33%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	3	67%	3	67%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	10	35%	6	58%	1	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	2	125%	2	50%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	4	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	2	150%	1	0%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	45	57%	28	52%	2	50%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	1	0%	7	57%	5	60%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	5	100%	6	67%	1	0%
Sophie Cunningham	2	50%	7	57%	5	40%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	3	67%	3	133%	2	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	2	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	3	33%	33	67%	22	59%	3	0%