WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	92		Excitement	4.0 [163]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +19.7%
Atlanta Dream	87		Comeback	1.2 [211]		LVP	Aari McDonald (ATL): -20.1%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.00	16	57%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jackie Young	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.23	0.00	0.06	10	71%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Alysha Clark	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	4	110%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kelsey Plum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	44%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kiah Stokes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.04	-0.18	0.05	-0.09	13	31%	0.04	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	15	45%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	-0.01	0.05	18	64%	0.17	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Asia (AD) Durr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.18	-0.00	0.15	7	93%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lorela Cubaj	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.08	0.02	8	29%	-0.06	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	ATL	WNBA	LVA	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.0	12.9	14.8	107.0	101.2	101.2
season	14.1	14.4		109.9	98.6
opponent	14.4	14.9		101.1	95.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.6	14.0	15.3	17.1	15.0
ATL	12.9	15.2	11.4	12.1	12.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	16%	80%	4%	0.0%	27.3%	55.4%	66.7%	0.0%
ATL	24%	73%	3%	0.0%	69.4%	47.2%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	4	25%	12	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	1	0%	9	72%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	4	112%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	2	50%	8	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	1	0%	14	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	2	50%	8	12%	3	67%	0	0%
Aces	11	27%	56	55%	3	67%	0	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	1	0%	12	42%	2	50%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	5	60%	13	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	4	50%	7	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	4	125%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	2	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lorela Cubaj	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	2	125%	6	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	18	69%	54	47%	2	50%	0	0%