WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	74		Excitement	9.0 [12]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +64.1%
Washington Mystics	75		Comeback	7.0 [48]		LVP	Kalani Brown (DAL): -24.6%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.16	0.02	0.10	-0.04	16	42%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.11
Jasmine Dickey	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Veronica Burton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maddy Siegrist	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.05	18	47%	0.13	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Arike Ogunbowale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,0.03,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	21	41%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kalani Brown	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	2	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.64	0.64	0.15	0.48	-0.01	7	76%	0.69	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.16
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.19	0.19	0.02	15	64%	0.41	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Li Meng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	8	45%	0.02	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.16	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	5	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	WNBA	DAL	WAS	WNBA
this game	13.6	14.7	14.8	87.1	89.3	101.2
season	14.4	14.9		105.9	99.1
opponent	14.6	14.7		99.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.5	14.5	13.6	13.0	13.6
WAS	15.6	14.1	15.6	13.7	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	1%	74%	21%	3.9%	150.0%	38.4%	46.9%	0.0%
WAS	0%	75%	25%	0.0%	0.0%	39.8%	36.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	12	42%	3	0%	1	0%
Jasmine Dickey	0	0%	2	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	1	150%	13	31%	3	100%	1	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	14	39%	6	42%	1	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Wings	1	150%	56	38%	16	47%	3	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	7	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	11	50%	4	75%	0	0%
Li Meng	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	17%	4	37%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	25%	4	25%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	7	57%	2	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	44	40%	15	37%	0	0%