WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	90		Excitement	9.4 [8]		MVP	NaLyssa Smith (IND): +38.8%
Atlanta Dream	87		Comeback	3.6 [24]		LVP	Haley Jones (ATL): -11.8%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0.39	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.39	0.19	0.19	0.00	16	72%	0.41	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	8	69%	0.25	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Queen Egbo	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Victoria Vivians	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	3	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grace Berger	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	2	60%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kristy Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.04	0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	72%	0.15	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Maya Caldwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	19	37%	0.08	3	-0.19	3	100%	0.05

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.17	-0.02	18	53%	0.35	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.11	0.00	12	66%	0.31	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.03	0.00	13	58%	0.22	2	-0.11	10	90%	0.05
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	71%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	36%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Asia (AD) Durr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Haley Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	WNBA	IND	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.8	108.4	108.7	101.2
season	15.1	14.4		99.8	98.6
opponent	14.4	14.8		101.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.4	15.8	15.8	15.2
ATL	13.2	14.5	14.2	14.9	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	68%	28%	3.9%	0.0%	47.1%	71.4%	33.3%
ATL	0%	65%	31%	4.6%	0.0%	45.2%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	10	75%	5	60%	1	100%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	7	64%	1	100%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	3	67%	3	67%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	2	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	5	70%	3	50%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	2	100%	3	100%	2	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	16	31%	3	33%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	52	47%	21	71%	3	33%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	14	50%	2	125%	2	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	7	50%	4	100%	1	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	8	50%	5	40%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	3	0%	3	50%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	3	33%	3	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	42	45%	20	50%	3	0%