WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	71		Excitement	8.5 [18]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +50.6%
Chicago Sky	69		Comeback	1.8 [126]		LVP	Natasha Cloud (WAS): -21.1%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.51	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.51	0.21	0.32	0.02	17	68%	0.54	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tianna Hawkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.01	4	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristi Toliver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shakira Austin	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	62%	0.26	4	-0.20	6	83%	0.02
Li Meng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	9	23%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	10	27%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Natasha Cloud	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	4	10%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.18	-0.02	12	54%	0.35	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.01	8	50%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Morgan Bertsch	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebekah Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	43%	0.10	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Robyn Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristine Anigwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alanna Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.15	0.02	15	61%	0.19	6	-0.32	1	100%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	0.01	-0.16	0.06	8	50%	-0.06	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	WNBA	WAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.9	14.1	14.8	85.5	84.1	101.2
season	14.9	14.9		99.1	99.3
opponent	14.7	14.6		102.9	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	15.0	15.1	15.4	14.9
CHI	13.5	15.8	15.7	11.9	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	70%	26%	4.5%	0.0%	43.5%	29.4%	83.3%
CHI	2%	70%	28%	0.0%	100.0%	51.2%	41.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	14	64%	2	50%	1	150%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	1	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	6	50%	2	50%	1	100%
Li Meng	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	2	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	7	14%	2	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	5	40%	4	0%	1	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	46	43%	17	29%	3	83%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	8	31%	4	100%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Morgan Bertsch	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	10	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Robyn Parks	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristine Anigwe	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	10	80%	5	20%	0	0%
Dana Evans	1	100%	3	83%	4	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	100%	43	51%	17	41%	0	0%