WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	83		Excitement	6.7 [72]		MVP	Allisha Gray (ATL): +24.6%
Minnesota Lynx	77		Comeback	44.2 [7]		LVP	Rhyne Howard (ATL): -17.1%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.25	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.21	0.08	0.04	17	62%	0.29	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Aari McDonald	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.15	-0.06	0.20	-0.01	8	33%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Monique Billings	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Asia (AD) Durr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nia Coffey	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.07	9	68%	0.09	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.02	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Rhyne Howard	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	12	32%	-0.02	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.06	0.01	16	59%	0.14	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dorka Juh�sz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.14	2	0%	-0.07
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	WNBA	ATL	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.2	15.2	14.8	105.1	97.5	101.2
season	14.4	14.6		98.6	98.2
opponent	15.2	14.4		105.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	17.7	14.7	13.3	15.2
MIN	12.2	16.7	15.3	16.7	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	7%	75%	13%	4.3%	80.0%	44.2%	44.4%	50.0%
MIN	9%	76%	12%	3.0%	33.3%	52.9%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	1	100%	14	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	5	20%	2	0%	1	150%
Monique Billings	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	4	75%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	5	80%	2	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	10	20%	1	150%	1	0%
Dream	5	80%	52	44%	9	44%	3	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	2	125%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	1	0%	11	64%	4	50%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	1	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dorka Juh�sz	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	1	100%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	44%	1	0%	1	0%
Diamond Miller	3	33%	6	33%	0	0%	1	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	7	57%	2	50%	0	0%
Lynx	6	33%	51	53%	8	50%	2	0%