WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	83		Excitement	8.6 [21]		MVP	Marine Johannes (NYL): +35.1%
New York Liberty	87		Comeback	2.6 [81]		LVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): -40.8%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monique Billings	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.12	0.20	-0.00	6	88%	0.41	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Rhyne Howard	0.22	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.22	0.21	-0.01	-0.02	18	55%	0.22	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Maya Caldwell	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.01	0.00	7	100%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Cheyenne Parker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	13	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Aari McDonald	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Naz Hillmon	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marine Johannes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.12	0.00	8	112%	0.41	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.23	0.03	8	69%	0.41	4	-0.13	10	70%	-0.13
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	11	68%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	1	125%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Han Xu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Betnijah Laney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.4,-0.47,-0.41	-0.41	-0.24	-0.20	-0.03	12	19%	-0.21	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYL	WNBA	ATL	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.0	14.2	14.8	101.2	106.1	100.7
season	14.8	14.9		95.5	98.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		101.0	98.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	14.4	16.0	16.2	15.0
NYL	12.2	14.2	15.6	15.4	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	1%	62%	35%	1.4%	100.0%	43.5%	42.3%	0.0%
NYL	0%	70%	28%	1.7%	0.0%	58.3%	58.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Monique Billings	0	0%	2	50%	4	100%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	14	50%	4	37%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	7	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	2	50%	5	50%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	8	25%	5	20%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	1	100%	9	11%	6	33%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	1	100%	46	43%	26	42%	1	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	6	100%	2	150%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	5	60%	3	83%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	7	71%	3	83%	1	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	5	30%	3	67%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	6	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	9	17%	3	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	42	58%	17	59%	1	0%