WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	90		Excitement	8.4 [27]		MVP	Kelsey Plum (LVA): +41.1%
Las Vegas Aces	97		Comeback	1.7 [175]		LVP	Kiah Stokes (LVA): -9.1%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Caldwell	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.07	0.00	9	94%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.14	0.00	5	83%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Cheyenne Parker	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.09	0.11	0.00	9	64%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Aari McDonald	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.23,0.15	0.09	0.02	-0.03	11	64%	0.29	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Erica Wheeler	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kia Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	16	36%	0.08	2	-0.14	7	71%	-0.01

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.26	0.01	17	63%	0.47	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	71%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.09
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	88%	0.47	4	-0.18	5	100%	0.01
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.09	0.01	18	56%	0.27	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Iliana Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Riquna Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LVA	WNBA	ATL	LVA	WNBA
this game	15.5	14.8	14.8	113.9	122.8	100.7
season	14.8	14.4		95.5	107.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		101.3	98.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	16.0	15.6	15.5	15.5
LVA	14.1	16.5	16.0	13.0	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	3%	65%	30%	1.5%	0.0%	59.3%	60.0%	0.0%
LVA	0%	75%	25%	0.0%	0.0%	52.0%	76.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	7	100%	2	75%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	3	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	1	0%	5	40%	3	100%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	6	83%	4	37%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	9	61%	5	50%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	1	0%	11	27%	4	37%	0	0%
Dream	2	0%	43	59%	20	60%	1	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	11	41%	6	100%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	8	87%	3	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	81%	2	100%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	16	41%	2	100%	0	0%
Iliana Rupert	0	0%	3	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	50	52%	17	76%	0	0%