WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	79		Excitement	7.8 [41]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +24.9%
Washington Mystics	76		Comeback	1.3 [34]		LVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): -33.9%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.08	-0.02	10	71%	0.24	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	6	50%	0.16	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Lexie Brown	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	8	62%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.12	-0.03	-0.01	17	54%	0.20	1	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Jasmine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	30%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.03	0.06	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.03,-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	15	39%	-0.09	1	-0.09	8	87%	0.04

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.01	17	51%	0.25	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.06	0.00	11	67%	0.27	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.34	-0.34	-0.10	-0.27	-0.03	12	29%	-0.31	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	WAS	WNBA	LAS	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.5	15.0	14.8	100.0	97.4	100.7
season	14.7	15.3		96.3	100.3
opponent	15.0	14.5		95.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	16.0	14.7	15.5	15.8	15.5
WAS	16.1	16.0	14.5	13.4	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	81%	13%	6.3%	0.0%	52.0%	12.5%	25.0%
WAS	0%	78%	17%	4.6%	0.0%	46.1%	27.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	9	78%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	6	83%	2	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	12	50%	3	33%	2	50%
Jasmine Walker	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	11	36%	2	0%	2	0%
Sparks	0	0%	51	52%	8	12%	4	25%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	14	46%	3	33%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	10	70%	1	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	8	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	5	20%	2	50%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	7	14%	2	50%	3	0%
Mystics	0	0%	51	46%	11	27%	3	0%