WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	91		Excitement	7.4 [49]		MVP	Emma Meesseman (CHI): +49.6%
Chicago Sky	94		Comeback	3.7 [57]		LVP	Courtney Williams (CON): -16.9%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.15	0.02	7	94%	0.33	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Alyssa Thomas	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	18	44%	0.18	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.04	0.04	9	65%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09	0.13	-0.03	0.00	11	72%	0.22	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Brionna Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	7	56%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
DiJonai Carrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Clouden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	16	35%	-0.05	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emma Meesseman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.5	0.50	0.20	0.33	0.04	8	94%	0.50	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.15	0.00	13	69%	0.39	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	13	60%	0.22	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	7	56%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Allie Quigley	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.15	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rebekah Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julie Allemand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	67%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	CHI	WNBA	CON	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.1	13.8	14.8	109.6	113.3	100.7
season	14.7	14.4		104.4	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.9		99.0	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.2	14.2	15.4	15.6	15.1
CHI	13.8	15.0	11.4	15.2	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	69%	27%	3.8%	0.0%	52.8%	42.9%	33.3%
CHI	2%	68%	29%	1.5%	0.0%	60.2%	73.7%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	4	87%	3	100%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	12	50%	5	20%	1	100%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	4	87%	5	40%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	7	93%	2	50%	2	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Nia Clouden	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	14	32%	2	50%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	54	53%	21	43%	3	33%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	6	83%	1	100%	1	150%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	8	50%	5	90%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	8	56%	5	60%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	1	0%	4	37%	2	100%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	8	69%	2	50%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	7	43%	3	83%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	2	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	0%	44	60%	19	74%	1	150%