WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	86		Excitement	7.7 [44]		MVP	Cheyenne Parker (ATL): +60.7%
Atlanta Dream	88		Comeback	1.5 [138]		LVP	Jordin Canada (LAS): -13.7%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.51	0.10	0.40	-0.01	10	60%	0.51	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.03	17	59%	0.25	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Lexie Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	46%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nneka Ogwumike	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	62%	0.17	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kianna Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.61	0.61	0.11	0.50	0.00	12	60%	0.64	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.25	0.13	0.00	12	80%	0.43	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.02
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.25	-0.00	6	67%	0.40	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Beatrice Mompremier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	8	30%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	ATL	WNBA	LAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.0	14.9	14.8	106.2	111.4	100.7
season	14.7	14.8		96.3	95.5
opponent	14.4	14.5		98.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.9	16.1	16.1	12.9	15.0
ATL	14.2	15.4	12.4	18.0	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	81%	14%	5.5%	0.0%	47.5%	60.0%	62.5%
ATL	0%	76%	21%	3.2%	0.0%	52.1%	42.3%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	7	36%	2	100%	1	150%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	15	53%	2	50%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	9	39%	4	75%	1	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	10	70%	1	0%	2	50%
Jasmine Walker	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kianna Smith	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	59	47%	10	60%	4	62%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	9	44%	2	100%	1	100%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	11	82%	1	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	1	100%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	3	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	7	50%	4	37%	0	0%
Beatrice Mompremier	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	4	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	47	52%	13	42%	2	100%