WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	61		Excitement	6.2 [84]		MVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): +46.1%
New York Liberty	64		Comeback	21.9 [22]		LVP	Brittney Sykes (LAS): -12.6%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.24	0.04	0.02	11	83%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.09,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	10	42%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Jasmine Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	4	37%	-0.03	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kianna Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	5	67%	0.11	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	7	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brittney Sykes	-0.13	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	13	46%	0.02	8	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.22,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.40	0.01	18	47%	0.51	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Marine Johannes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Han Xu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	41%	0.03	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	10	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	NYL	WNBA	LAS	NYL	WNBA
this game	14.9	15.8	14.8	78.2	82.1	100.7
season	14.7	14.9		96.3	98.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		101.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	12.9	15.2	14.2	17.4	14.9
NYL	16.9	16.4	15.8	14.2	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	10%	72%	15%	3.3%	16.7%	51.2%	33.3%	0.0%
NYL	0%	77%	21%	2.7%	0.0%	34.8%	46.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	1	0%	9	89%	1	100%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	33%	4	25%	0	0%
Jasmine Walker	1	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	1	0%	3	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Kianna Smith	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	3	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	1	0%
Brittney Sykes	3	33%	9	56%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	6	17%	43	51%	9	33%	2	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	12	33%	4	87%	2	0%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	6	17%	1	150%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	12	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	6	58%	4	25%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	56	35%	15	47%	2	0%