WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	75		Excitement	6.9 [59]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +37.3%
Washington Mystics	78		Comeback	1.9 [107]		LVP	Tina Charles (SEA): -13.0%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.37	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.37	0.27	0.11	0.01	12	82%	0.37	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Sue Bird	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.01	9	60%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jewell Loyd	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Ezi Magbegor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Stephanie Talbot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Briann January	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.13	0.03	-0.15	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	13	59%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.04	0.00	17	62%	0.21	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.04
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Machida	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.10	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	WAS	WNBA	SEA	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.2	16.7	14.8	101.4	102.6	100.7
season	14.5	15.3		102.1	100.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		95.2	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	16.4	15.5	13.5	15.2
WAS	15.6	17.8	15.3	18.1	16.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	78%	17%	5.1%	0.0%	54.3%	50.0%	0.0%
WAS	0%	81%	19%	0.0%	0.0%	47.2%	57.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	10	90%	1	150%	1	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	42%	3	83%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	3	33%	2	50%	1	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	11	41%	2	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	8	56%	0	0%	1	0%
Storm	0	0%	46	54%	10	50%	3	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	9	33%	4	100%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	15	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Rui Machida	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	7	43%	4	37%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	54	47%	13	58%	0	0%