WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	83		Excitement	7.9 [35]		MVP	Natisha Hiedeman (CON): +18.3%
Connecticut Sun	88		Comeback	2.9 [92]		LVP	DeWanna Bonner (CON): -10.0%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	12	56%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.03	11	62%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Sue Bird	0.06	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.07	-0.00	6	100%	0.20	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Breanna Stewart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.15,0.03	0.10	-0.08	-0.00	14	55%	0.12	1	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Stephanie Talbot	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	2	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Briann January	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.15	-0.01	7	43%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	11	76%	0.28	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.21	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Nia Clouden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	7	65%	0.24	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	41%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Williams	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	14	40%	0.06	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CON	WNBA	SEA	CON	WNBA
this game	14.1	15.5	14.8	106.4	107.3	100.7
season	14.5	14.7		102.1	104.4
opponent	14.9	15.1		94.8	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.7	14.5	13.4	14.9	14.1
CON	16.5	13.4	17.1	15.1	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	67%	31%	1.6%	0.0%	65.1%	37.5%	0.0%
CON	0%	74%	26%	0.0%	0.0%	52.0%	61.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	9	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	7	79%	4	25%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	7	86%	3	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	7	57%	6	58%	1	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	4	25%	3	33%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	43	65%	20	37%	1	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	4	0%	3	100%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	7	86%	4	50%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	3	83%	1	150%	0	0%
Nia Clouden	0	0%	2	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	3	33%	4	75%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	9	44%	2	50%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	11	45%	3	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	49	52%	17	62%	0	0%