WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	107		Excitement	13.5 [1]		MVP	Sophie Cunningham (PHO): +110.9%
Minnesota Lynx	118		Comeback	2.0 [137]		LVP	Diamond DeShields (PHO): -13.9%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sophie Cunningham	1.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.61,1.09,1.09,1.09,1.11,1.11,1.11	0.39	0.76	0.04	20	80%	1.18	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.76	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.76	0.11	0.63	-0.02	28	48%	0.77	1	-0.01	11	73%	0.01
Brianna Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	-0.02	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	23	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jennie Simms	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reshanda Gray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Shey Peddy	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	13	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Diamond DeShields	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	10	32%	-0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67	0.67	0.25	0.41	-0.00	14	76%	0.73	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.06
Aerial Powers	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.14	0.31	-0.04	24	64%	0.70	9	-0.20	7	86%	0.06
Kayla McBride	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.06	0.34	0.02	12	52%	0.42	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	10	56%	0.20	2	-0.09	5	40%	-0.06
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.12	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	4	-0.13	5	20%	-0.26

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	MIN	WNBA	PHO	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.8	15.3	14.8	109.2	116.8	100.7
season	14.7	14.7		99.7	101.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.5	15.0	16.9	13.6	15.1
MIN	15.1	15.8	13.1	17.2	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	6%	58%	29%	7.0%	41.7%	44.0%	43.1%	57.1%
MIN	5%	69%	24%	2.3%	25.0%	46.6%	81.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sophie Cunningham	2	75%	9	78%	6	75%	3	100%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	16	37%	10	50%	2	50%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	2	0%	13	35%	7	43%	1	0%
Jennie Simms	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	10	25%	3	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	1	0%	6	42%	2	0%	1	0%
Mercury	6	42%	58	44%	29	43%	7	57%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rachel Banham	1	0%	6	25%	7	136%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	1	0%	16	62%	5	70%	2	50%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	7	29%	5	40%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	8	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	8	31%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	1	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	1	100%	5	80%	2	50%	0	0%
Lynx	4	25%	59	47%	21	81%	2	50%