WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	81		Excitement	6.9 [61]		MVP	Skylar Diggins-Smith (PHO): +39.2%
Phoenix Mercury	84		Comeback	1.0 [177]		LVP	DiDi Richards (NYL): -11.5%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sami Whitcomb	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.14	0.01	7	75%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	9	80%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Natasha Howard	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	12	53%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Sabrina Ionescu	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	18	55%	0.28	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.04
Han Xu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marine Johannes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	3	33%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DiDi Richards	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.22,0.39	0.39	0.02	0.32	-0.05	12	41%	0.39	0	0.00	8	100%	0.10
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.09	-0.03	16	59%	0.33	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Shey Peddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.14	-0.01	9	57%	0.25	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.26	0.02	0.03	15	77%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jennie Simms	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reshanda Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	6	12%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	PHO	WNBA	NYL	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.8	100.0	105.0	100.7
season	14.9	14.7		98.0	99.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		103.4	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	15.3	12.2	15.9	14.3	14.4
PHO	13.5	16.4	14.9	16.6	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	70%	28%	1.4%	0.0%	43.0%	60.0%	0.0%
PHO	0%	82%	18%	0.0%	0.0%	42.6%	70.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	83%	4	62%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	5	80%	4	75%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	10	30%	2	125%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	13	46%	4	75%	1	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	5	20%	1	100%	0	0%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
DiDi Richards	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	50	43%	20	60%	1	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	10	10%	2	75%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	12	46%	4	62%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	6	33%	3	83%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	14	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Jennie Simms	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	5	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	54	43%	12	71%	0	0%