WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	78		Excitement	8.2 [30]		MVP	Kayla McBride (MIN): +42.1%
Minnesota Lynx	81		Comeback	1.4 [96]		LVP	Emma Meesseman (CHI): -11.9%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Candace Parker	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27	0.06	0.19	-0.02	13	50%	0.40	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.23	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.18,0.34,0.23	0.07	0.14	-0.02	18	50%	0.26	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Azur� Stevens	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rebekah Gardner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julie Allemand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.1	0.04	-0.13	0.00	17	50%	0.09	4	-0.19	6	83%	0.01
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emma Meesseman	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.42	0.42	0.16	0.27	0.01	8	75%	0.42	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.06	0.29	-0.00	7	59%	0.38	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Aerial Powers	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.03	17	56%	0.22	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	6	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	80%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	70%	0.28	5	-0.25	4	100%	0.03
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	WNBA	CHI	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.7	14.0	14.8	97.5	98.8	100.7
season	14.4	14.7		103.4	101.8
opponent	15.0	14.8		103.3	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	14.7	16.9	15.2	15.7
MIN	13.5	14.6	11.6	16.3	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	82%	14%	3.8%	0.0%	42.2%	72.7%	33.3%
MIN	0%	92%	6%	1.6%	0.0%	52.6%	25.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Candace Parker	0	0%	10	20%	3	150%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	11	50%	4	62%	3	33%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	12	46%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	15	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	64	42%	11	73%	3	33%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	7	64%	1	100%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	1	100%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	15	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	5	70%	1	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	57	53%	4	25%	1	100%