WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	75		Excitement	8.4 [25]		MVP	Liz Cambage (LAS): +37.0%
Los Angeles Sparks	78		Comeback	1.7 [78]		LVP	Jordin Canada (LAS): -27.2%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sophie Cunningham	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	15	61%	0.29	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.06
Reshanda Gray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jennie Simms	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Megan Gustafson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	100%	0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	14	41%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Shey Peddy	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.04	-0.17	-0.04	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Liz Cambage	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.21	0.15	-0.01	10	76%	0.43	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Lexie Brown	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.19	-0.01	9	78%	0.35	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Kianna Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.12	0.01	15	62%	0.23	5	-0.28	7	71%	-0.02
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.22,-0.26,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.34,-0.27	-0.27	-0.25	-0.05	-0.03	14	29%	0.02	8	-0.30	6	67%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LAS	WNBA	PHO	LAS	WNBA
this game	14.3	14.9	14.8	91.5	95.1	100.7
season	14.7	14.7		99.7	96.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		105.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	14.6	11.1	17.0	14.4	14.3
LAS	14.5	18.9	11.6	14.9	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	65%	32%	3.5%	0.0%	63.5%	36.1%	0.0%
LAS	0%	63%	37%	0.0%	0.0%	53.9%	40.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	8	44%	1	150%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	8	75%	6	33%	1	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	3	117%	2	0%	0	0%
Jennie Simms	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	8	31%	5	40%	1	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	5	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	37	64%	18	36%	2	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	7	71%	3	67%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	5	80%	4	75%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	37%	3	33%	0	0%
Kianna Smith	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Walker	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	8	75%	7	43%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	11	27%	3	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	38	54%	22	41%	0	0%