WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	92		Excitement	9.1 [15]		MVP	Erica Wheeler (ATL): +41.8%
New York Liberty	81		Comeback	17.2 [9]		LVP	Asia (AD) Durr (ATL): -14.6%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.07	0.35	0.00	8	59%	0.44	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tiffany Hayes	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.14	-0.01	15	64%	0.35	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Cheyenne Parker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	-0.05	0.14	-0.04	10	38%	0.22	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.02
Kristy Wallace	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Monique Billings	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	45%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Naz Hillmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Kia Vaughn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	11	38%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Asia (AD) Durr	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	8	25%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.18

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.13	0.03	12	74%	0.35	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
DiDi Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	2	87%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	19	40%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	6	36%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Han Xu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marine Johannes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.03
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	13	39%	0.08	4	-0.18	7	57%	-0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYL	WNBA	ATL	NYL	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.1	14.8	98.9	92.0	100.7
season	14.8	14.9		95.5	98.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		101.0	98.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	14.2	14.4	14.0	14.7
NYL	17.3	14.4	14.8	14.2	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	6%	74%	17%	2.5%	20.0%	41.7%	57.1%	75.0%
NYL	8%	79%	12%	1.5%	60.0%	39.4%	93.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	1	150%
Tiffany Hayes	3	33%	6	58%	5	110%	1	0%
Cheyenne Parker	1	0%	6	17%	3	83%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	5	80%	2	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	1	0%	8	44%	2	0%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	8	12%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	5	20%	60	42%	14	57%	2	75%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stefanie Dolson	3	67%	6	75%	2	125%	1	0%
DiDi Richards	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	16	34%	3	33%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	5	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	9	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	2	50%	10	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Liberty	5	60%	52	39%	8	94%	1	0%