WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	79		Excitement	7.7 [42]		MVP	Kelsey Plum (LVA): +53.2%
Los Angeles Sparks	73		Comeback	2.9 [102]		LVP	Kristi Toliver (LAS): -14.7%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Plum	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.28,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53	0.22	0.30	-0.02	16	67%	0.58	3	-0.05	11	82%	0.01
A'ja Wilson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	16	61%	0.33	5	-0.21	9	89%	0.04
Theresa Plaisance	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	4	30%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Kierstan Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Riquna Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iliana Rupert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lexie Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.14	0.00	9	94%	0.37	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	15	31%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Liz Cambage	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	8	57%	0.21	3	-0.19	5	80%	0.02
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	18	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Chennedy Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	LAS	WNBA	LVA	LAS	WNBA
this game	14.3	15.0	14.8	96.3	89.0	100.7
season	14.4	14.7		107.9	96.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		105.5	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.1	16.3	14.3	13.7	14.3
LAS	14.0	17.0	14.3	14.9	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	72%	26%	1.6%	0.0%	50.0%	43.7%	100.0%
LAS	1%	70%	29%	0.0%	0.0%	45.1%	40.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	9	56%	7	71%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	13	58%	3	33%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	1	100%
Kierstan Bell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Iliana Rupert	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	9	39%	2	50%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	44	50%	16	44%	1	100%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	7	86%	2	125%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	17%	9	33%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	6	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	1	0%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	14	43%	4	50%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	6	25%	2	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	0%	51	45%	21	40%	0	0%