WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	85		Excitement	7.2 [53]		MVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): +36.5%
Chicago Sky	88		Comeback	1.5 [157]		LVP	Aerial Powers (MIN): -26.1%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.32	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.32	0.06	0.26	0.00	10	62%	0.42	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.18
Bridget Carleton	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	3	133%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	83%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	79%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Sylvia Fowles	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.04,0.04	0.18	-0.09	0.05	8	79%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikolina Milic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.26	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	10	32%	-0.19	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.06,0.37	0.36	0.07	0.26	-0.03	13	69%	0.59	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	8	62%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Julie Allemand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	4	110%	0.21	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	6	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.07
Rebekah Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	46%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	3	37%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	WNBA	MIN	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.6	15.3	14.8	106.2	110.0	100.7
season	14.7	14.4		101.8	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.0		99.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	15.3	14.6	15.4	14.6
CHI	16.4	15.5	13.9	15.4	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	4%	84%	5%	7.1%	100.0%	67.0%	83.3%	0.0%
CHI	8%	85%	6%	1.5%	0.0%	64.5%	0.0%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	10	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	2	125%	1	150%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	6	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	6	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	1	100%	5	110%	0	0%	2	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	1	100%	7	14%	0	0%	2	0%
Lynx	2	100%	47	67%	3	83%	4	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	11	68%	1	0%	1	150%
Candace Parker	1	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	4	112%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	2	0%	9	56%	1	0%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	1	0%	13	54%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	5	0%	55	65%	4	0%	1	150%