WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	95		Excitement	8.4 [24]		MVP	Dearica Hamby (LVA): +40.9%
Las Vegas Aces	96		Comeback	8.3 [145]		LVP	Evina Westbrook (MIN): -14.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moriah Jefferson	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29	0.27	0.03	0.01	14	82%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.15	0.21	0.07	0.13	11	81%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Rachel Banham	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	70%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	12	46%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikolina Milic	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.18	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Bridget Carleton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	10	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evina Westbrook	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41	0.41	0.21	0.20	-0.00	7	84%	0.41	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.22	0.16	-0.01	15	71%	0.43	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.21,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	22	43%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aisha Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	15	41%	0.08	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Chelsea Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	14	52%	0.12	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LVA	WNBA	MIN	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.8	113.1	114.3	100.7
season	14.7	14.4		101.8	107.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		101.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	14.1	15.0	13.9	14.2
LVA	13.3	17.5	12.9	14.0	14.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	2%	67%	28%	2.5%	100.0%	59.3%	45.7%	0.0%
LVA	0%	65%	35%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	51.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	10	95%	3	67%	1	0%
Jessica Shepard	2	100%	5	100%	4	50%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	150%	4	50%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	39%	3	67%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	4	62%	3	33%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	12	42%	2	75%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	8	31%	2	0%	0	0%
Evina Westbrook	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Lynx	2	100%	54	59%	23	46%	2	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	4	50%	3	133%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	9	61%	6	75%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	13	35%	9	50%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aisha Sheppard	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	9	50%	6	17%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	12	54%	2	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	51	50%	27	52%	0	0%