WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	87		Excitement	9.4 [12]		MVP	NaLyssa Smith (IND): +52.3%
Indiana Fever	89		Comeback	10.2 [6]		LVP	Destanni Henderson (IND): -24.4%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.28	0.27	0.03	0.02	13	78%	0.38	3	-0.10	10	80%	-0.02
Allie Quigley	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	6	57%	0.20	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Julie Allemand	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebekah Gardner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Li Yueru	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dana Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruthy Hebard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,-0.07	0.09	-0.15	0.01	11	54%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Azur� Stevens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Meesseman	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.52	0.52	0.20	0.33	0.01	17	67%	0.58	2	-0.06	5	60%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.01	5	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Emma Cannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	10	52%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	43%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.01	4	50%	0.12	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.08
Queen Egbo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Emily Engstler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.08	-0.03	5	42%	0.06	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Destanni Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.10	-0.01	4	10%	-0.10	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	WNBA	CHI	IND	WNBA
this game	13.6	14.3	14.8	98.9	106.0	100.7
season	14.4	14.7		103.4	93.8
opponent	14.3	14.8		107.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	12.4	14.2	13.7	13.6
IND	15.2	14.2	11.9	16.6	14.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	67%	24%	8.6%	0.0%	55.3%	61.8%	16.7%
IND	0%	68%	30%	1.4%	0.0%	51.1%	52.4%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	8	100%	4	50%	1	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	4	37%	1	150%	1	0%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	4	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Li Yueru	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Ruthy Hebard	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	8	69%	0	0%	3	33%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	5	20%	2	75%	1	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	10	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	47	55%	17	62%	6	17%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	12	67%	4	62%	1	100%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	3	67%	2	75%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	2	50%	8	50%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	10	40%	3	33%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Destanni Henderson	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	47	51%	21	52%	1	100%