WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	81		Excitement	8.1 [33]		MVP	Epiphanny Prince (SEA): +47.3%
Minnesota Lynx	79		Comeback	4.6 [99]		LVP	Briann January (SEA): -19.6%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.47	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.47	0.20	0.28	0.01	18	63%	0.51	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.18	0.29	-0.00	10	75%	0.47	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	16	42%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ezi Magbegor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reshanda Gray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Briann January	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.39	0.39	0.14	0.23	-0.02	15	67%	0.48	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	6	75%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	2	150%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	48%	0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.06	0.00	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	11	42%	0.02	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	8	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	WNBA	SEA	MIN	WNBA
this game	16.0	14.7	14.8	102.5	102.6	100.7
season	14.5	14.7		102.1	101.8
opponent	15.0	15.1		103.3	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.9	17.1	15.8	18.0	16.0
MIN	13.2	12.3	15.8	18.4	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	71%	27%	1.4%	0.0%	44.2%	50.0%	100.0%
MIN	0%	71%	26%	2.9%	0.0%	55.2%	55.6%	75.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	14	54%	3	67%	1	100%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	3	50%	7	86%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	14	39%	2	50%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	6	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	2	75%	3	0%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	5	20%	2	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	52	44%	20	50%	1	100%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	11	59%	3	67%	1	150%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	5	60%	1	150%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	150%	1	150%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	5	30%	1	100%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	10	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	5	80%	4	50%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	7	57%	4	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	1	0%
Lynx	0	0%	48	55%	18	56%	2	75%