WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	84		Excitement	8.8 [19]		MVP	NaLyssa Smith (IND): +45.4%
Minnesota Lynx	80		Comeback	3.8 [39]		LVP	Rachel Banham (MIN): -11.2%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0.45	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.22	0.24	0.01	10	84%	0.53	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04
Victoria Vivians	0.32	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.39,0.32	0.06	0.26	-0.01	14	54%	0.40	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	14	50%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Danielle Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.21	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Destanni Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Queen Egbo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.02	-0.06	6	62%	0.20	5	-0.20	1	0%	-0.02
Emma Cannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.39	0.39	0.16	0.09	-0.13	19	57%	0.39	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	73%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evina Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	45%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Aerial Powers	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.11	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.04
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	WNBA	IND	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.6	14.7	14.8	105.0	102.6	100.7
season	14.7	14.7		93.8	101.8
opponent	15.0	14.3		103.3	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	16.8	16.5	13.5	15.6
MIN	15.0	15.6	13.3	15.1	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	70%	26%	4.3%	0.0%	55.1%	52.8%	50.0%
MIN	0%	69%	27%	4.2%	0.0%	54.1%	42.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	9	89%	1	100%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	7	43%	5	60%	2	75%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	9	61%	5	20%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	7	57%	4	87%	1	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Destanni Henderson	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	4	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	49	55%	18	53%	3	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	12	71%	6	50%	1	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	5	80%	2	50%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	8	56%	2	0%	0	0%
Evina Westbrook	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	1	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	10	30%	4	50%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	2	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	1	0%
Lynx	0	0%	49	54%	19	42%	3	0%