WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	88		Excitement	9.4 [13]		MVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): +88.0%
New York Liberty	86		Comeback	8.3 [36]		LVP	Kahleah Copper (CHI): -14.8%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Vandersloot	0.88	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.88	0.14	0.74	-0.00	17	57%	0.90	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05
Emma Meesseman	0.37	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.37	0.17	0.20	0.00	14	71%	0.40	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Li Yueru	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rebekah Gardner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.00	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dana Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julie Allemand	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Azur� Stevens	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	0.00	8	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15	-0.04	-0.13	-0.03	11	48%	-0.00	5	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.5,0.46,0.7	0.70	0.26	0.45	0.01	16	71%	0.76	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.12
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Han Xu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	8	53%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.02	0.01	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marine Johannes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.11	0.00	6	100%	0.21	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	-0.07	16	25%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYL	WNBA	CHI	NYL	WNBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.8	106.0	104.9	100.7
season	14.4	14.9		103.4	98.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.6	15.0	16.4	14.7	14.6
NYL	13.4	15.0	12.2	17.7	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	59%	32%	9.2%	0.0%	47.8%	58.3%	35.7%
NYL	0%	74%	26%	0.0%	0.0%	53.1%	67.6%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	11	50%	5	60%	1	150%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	10	70%	3	67%	1	100%
Li Yueru	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	1	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	7	36%	6	75%	2	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	4	87%	3	33%	1	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	7	29%	2	125%	2	0%
Sky	0	0%	45	48%	24	58%	7	36%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	11	45%	5	110%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	6	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	5	90%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	1	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	5	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	11	18%	5	40%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	49	53%	17	68%	0	0%