WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	88		Excitement	6.1 [92]		MVP	Shey Peddy (PHO): +26.0%
Phoenix Mercury	90		Comeback	1.3 [150]		LVP	Asia (AD) Durr (ATL): -10.7%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.16	0.25	-0.02	0.08	18	66%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nia Coffey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheyenne Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.20	-0.08	0.03	12	77%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kristy Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.07	10	40%	0.03	1	0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	12	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asia (AD) Durr	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shey Peddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.16	0.00	6	71%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.21	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.03
Megan Gustafson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	15	59%	0.17	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	36%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	51%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHO	WNBA	ATL	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.1	14.8	110.0	111.1	100.7
season	14.8	14.7		95.5	99.7
opponent	15.0	14.4		103.4	98.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	16.1	15.5	13.7	14.7
PHO	13.9	14.8	15.3	16.3	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	10%	80%	6%	3.8%	106.2%	46.0%	50.0%	0.0%
PHO	9%	88%	3%	0.0%	58.3%	48.3%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	2	150%	14	64%	1	0%	1	0%
Nia Coffey	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	2	125%	7	79%	2	50%	1	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	9	28%	1	150%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	2	100%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	1	100%	7	14%	0	0%	1	0%
Dream	8	106%	63	46%	5	50%	3	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	5	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	15	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	1	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	3	83%	12	46%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	9	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	2	50%	13	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	6	58%	59	48%	2	50%	0	0%