WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	89		Excitement	9.7 [10]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +106.1%
Dallas Wings	88		Comeback	5.8 [46]		LVP	Tyasha Harris (DAL): -10.6%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	1.06	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.23,1.06	0.27	0.79	0.00	22	64%	1.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.17
Jewell Loyd	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	12	72%	0.36	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jantel Lavender	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	59%	0.18	4	-0.20	4	25%	-0.10
Stephanie Talbot	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.05
Sue Bird	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	5	70%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.49	0.49	0.17	0.33	0.00	17	55%	0.53	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.10
Awak Kuier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.06	-0.02	6	69%	0.17	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.09	0.01	11	50%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Satou Sabally	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	6	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	-0.06	0.01	10	76%	0.21	2	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Jasmine Dickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Veronica Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	0.09	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	WNBA	SEA	DAL	WNBA
this game	13.0	15.9	14.8	107.2	106.0	100.7
season	14.5	15.4		102.1	103.5
opponent	14.6	15.1		103.4	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.9	14.6	13.0	12.6	13.0
DAL	17.3	16.2	16.1	14.1	15.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	81%	18%	1.5%	0.0%	59.3%	62.5%	100.0%
DAL	0%	74%	24%	2.9%	0.0%	47.0%	56.2%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	17	62%	4	50%	1	100%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	10	70%	2	75%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	8	62%	1	100%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	4	87%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	54	59%	12	62%	1	100%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	9	28%	6	67%	2	50%
Awak Kuier	0	0%	5	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	10	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	4	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	9	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Dickey	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	3	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	50	47%	16	56%	2	50%