WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	82		Excitement	5.7 [100]		MVP	Alysha Clark (WAS): +24.9%
Washington Mystics	84		Comeback	1.9 [106]		LVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): -11.4%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Candace Parker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.03	15	47%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.06
Rebekah Gardner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	9	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Azur� Stevens	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	8	69%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ruthy Hebard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Emma Meesseman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	9	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.04	-0.01	9	82%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.04	0.00	6	87%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.17	0.02	11	46%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.02	0.03	12	68%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rui Machida	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	WNBA	CHI	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.0	16.3	14.8	106.5	110.5	100.7
season	14.4	15.3		103.4	100.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		95.2	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	14.3	15.4	15.3	15.0
WAS	16.4	15.0	14.6	20.0	16.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	22%	69%	6%	2.8%	56.2%	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
WAS	24%	76%	0%	0.0%	37.5%	52.9%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Candace Parker	4	37%	8	50%	2	50%	1	0%
Rebekah Gardner	2	50%	7	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	8	69%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	2	0%	8	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Ruthy Hebard	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	1	0%	7	57%	0	0%	1	0%
Emma Meesseman	2	100%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	100%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	16	56%	50	50%	4	50%	2	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alysha Clark	1	0%	8	87%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	1	0%	5	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	3	33%	8	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	3	67%	9	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rui Machida	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	7	43%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	16	37%	52	53%	0	0%	0	0%