WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	74		Excitement	8.8 [18]		MVP	Natasha Howard (NYL): +40.4%
Washington Mystics	70		Comeback	3.8 [21]		LVP	Myisha Hines-Allen (WAS): -10.7%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.4	-0.02	0.38	-0.04	20	40%	0.47	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Rebecca Allen	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.3,0.3	0.08	0.24	0.02	6	69%	0.35	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Sabrina Ionescu	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.07	-0.02	15	65%	0.30	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.07
Sami Whitcomb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Asia (AD) Durr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Han Xu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	13	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	10	62%	0.24	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	8	37%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.25,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	16	46%	0.28	6	-0.29	5	80%	-0.01
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Machida	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	WAS	WNBA	NYL	WAS	WNBA
this game	16.0	15.1	14.8	97.4	89.7	100.7
season	14.9	15.3		98.0	100.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		95.2	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	14.1	16.2	15.7	18.2	16.0
WAS	13.7	16.2	16.7	14.4	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	68%	29%	3.2%	0.0%	43.0%	50.0%	50.0%
WAS	1%	71%	21%	5.7%	0.0%	42.0%	56.7%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	13	23%	6	58%	1	100%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	5	40%	1	150%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	9	78%	5	30%	1	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	5	60%	2	75%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	3	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	43	43%	18	50%	2	50%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	10	50%	2	125%	1	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	8	56%	2	75%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	6	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	1	0%	9	33%	5	70%	1	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Rui Machida	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	2	50%
Mystics	1	0%	50	42%	15	57%	4	25%