WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	70		Excitement	7.7 [43]		MVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): +20.2%
Chicago Sky	73		Comeback	7.4 [44]		LVP	Diamond DeShields (PHO): -20.0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Megan Gustafson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.00	5	90%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.06	0.14	-0.06	0.02	21	57%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sophie Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	4	36%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Shey Peddy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Diana Taurasi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	4	17%	-0.11	2	-0.08	4	0%	-0.09
Diamond DeShields	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.2	-0.06	-0.18	-0.04	14	36%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	-0.00	12	56%	0.22	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.08
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruthy Hebard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	7	43%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rebekah Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.09	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Li Yueru	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	9	28%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	CHI	WNBA	PHO	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.3	16.1	14.8	87.5	93.6	100.7
season	14.7	14.4		99.7	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.0		99.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.9	14.5	11.9	15.1	14.3
CHI	11.9	20.0	16.9	16.4	16.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	76%	19%	5.7%	0.0%	49.1%	46.2%	0.0%
CHI	0%	74%	23%	3.0%	0.0%	45.9%	46.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	4	87%	1	100%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	14	57%	6	58%	1	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	4	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	1	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	10	50%	2	0%	2	0%
Mercury	0	0%	53	49%	13	46%	4	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	4	50%	7	57%	1	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Ruthy Hebard	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	3	33%	3	67%	1	0%
Li Yueru	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	10	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	5	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	8	31%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	49	46%	15	47%	2	0%