WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	85		Excitement	6.2 [87]		MVP	Chiney Ogwumike (LAS): +29.0%
Minnesota Lynx	83		Comeback	1.1 [103]		LVP	Nikolina Milic (MIN): -5.5%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.02	0.20	-0.07	3	80%	0.29	3	0.01	4	100%	0.11
Liz Cambage	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.08	-0.08	10	60%	0.27	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Chennedy Carter	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.06	-0.03	15	59%	0.24	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Lexie Brown	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	7	57%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.07	0.13	0.03	10	67%	0.24	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	8	65%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	2	50%	0.05	5	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.19	0.01	8	50%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.02	3	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.03	-0.10	8	52%	0.11	3	0.02	13	54%	-0.06
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	8	58%	0.16	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.04	9	55%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Evina Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.03	13	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.08
Jessica Shepard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	MIN	WNBA	LAS	MIN	WNBA
this game	16.2	14.7	14.8	109.0	107.8	100.7
season	14.7	14.7		96.3	101.8
opponent	15.0	14.5		103.3	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	12.3	16.8	20.1	17.0	16.2
MIN	14.2	14.8	14.4	15.4	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	84%	12%	3.6%	0.0%	56.4%	57.1%	50.0%
MIN	0%	85%	12%	3.8%	0.0%	38.6%	100.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	8	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	14	57%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	6	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	2	50%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	7	64%	1	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	47	56%	7	57%	2	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	1	100%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	2	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	7	43%	2	75%	0	0%
Evina Westbrook	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	11	41%	1	100%	1	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	44	39%	6	100%	2	50%