WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	71		Excitement	9.9 [7]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +32.4%
Seattle Storm	79		Comeback	2.2 [126]		LVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): -26.7%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	14	68%	0.29	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Han Xu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Rebecca Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.08	0.15	0.00	12	39%	0.22	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	61%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Asia (AD) Durr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sabrina Ionescu	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	12	33%	-0.14	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0,0.16,0.26,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.18	-0.00	19	55%	0.43	3	-0.11	18	83%	0.02
Briann January	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.01	7	79%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	22	43%	0.24	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.08
Jantel Lavender	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reshanda Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	4	20%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	10	18%	-0.16	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.40

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	SEA	WNBA	NYL	SEA	WNBA
this game	15.4	15.3	14.8	80.7	89.8	100.7
season	14.9	14.5		98.0	102.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		97.3	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	15.2	15.6	15.1	16.9	15.4
SEA	13.9	13.6	18.2	15.1	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	61%	33%	5.7%	0.0%	46.5%	28.3%	50.0%
SEA	0%	76%	22%	1.4%	0.0%	40.9%	37.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	11	59%	2	150%	1	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	6	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	6	17%	5	30%	1	100%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	4	62%	2	0%	1	100%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	6	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	2	0%	5	20%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	7	43%	4	25%	1	0%
Liberty	0	0%	43	47%	23	28%	4	50%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	13	42%	6	42%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	6	67%	1	150%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	16	37%	6	33%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	7	57%	1	0%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	8	25%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	55	41%	16	37%	1	0%