WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	78		Excitement	8.4 [26]		MVP	Natasha Howard (NYL): +20.0%
Minnesota Lynx	84		Comeback	7.9 [31]		LVP	Sami Whitcomb (NYL): -26.9%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.20	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.23	0.01	0.03	12	77%	0.24	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Han Xu	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	6	92%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	20	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Michaela Onyenwere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Asia (AD) Durr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Sabrina Ionescu	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.06,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	10	45%	0.00	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Sami Whitcomb	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	11	9%	-0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aerial Powers	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.21,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.16	-0.00	13	45%	0.22	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.05
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	4	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.07
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.06	0.03	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Evina Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	MIN	WNBA	NYL	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.7	13.8	14.8	94.0	98.8	100.7
season	14.9	14.7		98.0	101.8
opponent	15.0	14.9		103.3	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	16.9	14.5	13.4	14.1	14.7
MIN	12.1	17.0	15.2	11.4	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	1%	70%	27%	1.4%	0.0%	48.0%	44.7%	0.0%
MIN	0%	70%	29%	1.4%	0.0%	45.9%	25.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	12	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Han Xu	0	0%	5	90%	1	100%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	12	58%	8	37%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	3	0%	4	75%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	6	42%	3	50%	1	0%
Sami Whitcomb	1	0%	7	14%	3	0%	0	0%
Liberty	1	0%	50	48%	19	45%	1	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	10	20%	2	0%	1	100%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	6	67%	6	33%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	4	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	8	37%	2	50%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	7	57%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	7	43%	4	25%	0	0%
Evina Westbrook	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	49	46%	20	25%	1	100%