WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	80		Excitement	4.3 [143]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +22.7%
Seattle Storm	83		Comeback	1.0 [200]		LVP	Jasmine Walker (LAS): -7.3%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Liz Cambage	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12	0.22	-0.01	0.10	17	61%	0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Brittney Sykes	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Lexie Brown	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.12	-0.09	0.04	15	65%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jordin Canada	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chennedy Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	3	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Katie Lou Samuelson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.01	20	62%	0.32	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.01	6	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Briann January	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	46%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jantel Lavender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	SEA	WNBA	LAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.3	15.8	14.8	101.3	103.8	100.7
season	14.7	14.5		96.3	102.1
opponent	15.1	14.5		97.3	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.5	14.7	13.3	14.6	14.3
SEA	11.3	16.1	17.4	19.9	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	2%	92%	5%	1.6%	100.0%	54.5%	66.7%	0.0%
SEA	0%	99%	1%	0.0%	0.0%	47.1%	100.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	15	60%	2	50%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	1	100%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	13	65%	1	100%	1	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Walker	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	100%	56	54%	3	67%	1	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	19	58%	1	100%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	10	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	10	35%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	68	47%	1	100%	0	0%