WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	87		Excitement	9.9 [8]		MVP	Lexie Brown (LAS): +51.9%
Los Angeles Sparks	84		Comeback	2.3 [25]		LVP	Aerial Powers (MIN): -14.1%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.07,0.46	0.16	0.30	-0.00	18	60%	0.58	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Sylvia Fowles	0.37	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37	0.16	0.20	-0.01	10	80%	0.44	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Bridget Carleton	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	3	133%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.23	0.07	0.16	0.00	6	71%	0.32	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.05
Moriah Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	14	59%	0.28	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.04
Hannah Sjerven	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikolina Milic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evina Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	9	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lexie Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.52	0.52	0.16	0.36	0.00	7	86%	0.52	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.07	0.01	16	61%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Liz Cambage	0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.20	-0.01	8	63%	0.34	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.17
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	6	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chennedy Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.09	-0.02	6	67%	0.21	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jasmine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	8	35%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAS	WNBA	MIN	LAS	WNBA
this game	15.8	14.3	14.8	111.5	103.7	100.7
season	14.7	14.7		101.8	96.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		105.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.3	14.1	16.7	16.5	15.8
LAS	15.1	12.7	13.3	16.9	14.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	66%	27%	7.8%	0.0%	53.6%	58.8%	60.0%
LAS	0%	67%	25%	7.5%	0.0%	53.3%	55.9%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	11	64%	5	40%	2	50%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	71%	2	100%	1	100%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	150%	2	125%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	3	117%	2	0%	1	100%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	8	50%	5	70%	1	0%
Hannah Sjerven	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Evina Westbrook	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	9	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	42	54%	17	59%	5	60%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	3	50%	3	100%	1	150%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	12	58%	4	50%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	6	75%	1	0%	1	100%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	2	50%	4	75%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Walker	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	1	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	2	0%
Sparks	0	0%	45	53%	17	56%	5	50%