WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	75		Excitement	6.9 [60]		MVP	Rhyne Howard (ATL): +23.4%
Atlanta Dream	77		Comeback	1.6 [53]		LVP	Chennedy Carter (LAS): -13.7%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordin Canada	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	14	58%	0.20	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Lexie Brown	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Liz Cambage	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.12	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Brittney Sykes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	12	31%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Jasmine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chiney Ogwumike	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rae Burrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chennedy Carter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.01	18	55%	0.30	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Megan Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.01	5	79%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	10	37%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	9	11%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	ATL	WNBA	LAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.9	14.7	14.8	91.5	96.2	100.7
season	14.7	14.8		96.3	95.5
opponent	14.4	14.5		98.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.1	15.9	14.8	15.2	14.9
ATL	12.4	16.5	12.5	18.2	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	87%	10%	2.8%	0.0%	41.3%	28.6%	0.0%
ATL	3%	86%	12%	0.0%	0.0%	40.7%	81.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	13	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	10	60%	0	0%	1	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	8	44%	2	50%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	9	22%	3	33%	0	0%
Jasmine Walker	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	1	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	6	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	63	41%	7	29%	2	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	15	43%	3	100%	0	0%
Megan Walker	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	3	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	1	0%	6	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	1	0%	7	21%	2	50%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	9	11%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	2	0%	59	41%	8	81%	0	0%