WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	84		Excitement	7.8 [39]		MVP	Jackie Young (LVA): +51.7%
Phoenix Mercury	83		Comeback	122.5 [4]		LVP	Brianna Turner (PHO): -22.2%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0.52	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.52	-0.01	0.53	-0.00	9	45%	0.59	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Riquna Williams	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	-0.00	7	81%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chelsea Gray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelsey Plum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.06	0.18	-0.09	0.02	18	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Dearica Hamby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.15	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Kiah Stokes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liz Cambage	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JiSu Park	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Destiny Slocum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.10	-0.07	10	55%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	10	70%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	-0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Shey Peddy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Megan Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	4	25%	-0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	PHO	WNBA	LVA	PHO	WNBA
this game	15.4	15.6	14.9	107.7	107.8	99.6
season	13.6	15.2		105.8	103.2
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.8	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.2	16.1	16.1	16.3	15.4
PHO	15.2	14.7	13.9	19.0	15.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	75%	20%	4.3%	0.0%	56.7%	32.1%	33.3%
PHO	1%	77%	19%	2.9%	0.0%	54.7%	69.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	0	0%	6	33%	2	0%	1	100%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	7	79%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	7	79%	1	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	11	68%	5	40%	2	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	8	37%	3	83%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Destiny Slocum	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	52	57%	14	32%	3	33%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	7	43%	3	83%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	1	0%	6	75%	2	125%	1	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	10	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	8	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	4	100%	3	33%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	6	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Walker	0	0%	3	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	1	0%
Mercury	1	0%	53	55%	13	69%	2	0%