WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	76		Excitement	6.1 [80]		MVP	Shey Peddy (PHO): +82.5%
Atlanta Dream	75		Comeback	38.7 [7]		LVP	Kia Vaughn (PHO): -15.3%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shey Peddy	0.82	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.82	0.18	0.64	-0.01	7	90%	0.90	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.27
Megan Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Sophie Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Bria Hartley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.13	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Brianna Turner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	5	73%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monique Billings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Dietrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	11	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.18	-0.03	21	45%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	ATL	WNBA	PHO	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.9	16.0	14.9	97.4	97.4	99.6
season	15.2	14.9		103.2	96.5
opponent	14.7	15.2		103.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	17.4	16.9	12.4	13.0	14.9
ATL	11.0	16.5	16.1	21.5	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	87%	13%	0.0%	0.0%	52.9%	31.2%	0.0%
ATL	0%	81%	17%	1.4%	0.0%	50.9%	45.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	4	87%	3	83%	0	0%
Megan Walker	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	4	112%	1	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	9	44%	2	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	10	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	52	53%	8	31%	0	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	4	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	8	62%	1	100%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	8	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Blake Dietrick	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	10	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	14	54%	6	33%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	57	51%	12	46%	1	0%