WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	72		Excitement	8.3 [31]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +63.9%
Indiana Fever	74		Comeback	29.9 [11]		LVP	Victoria Vivians (IND): -15.6%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauren Cox	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.15	0.16	-0.01	7	87%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Nia Coffey	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.31	0.18	0.13	0.00	7	93%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04	0.13	-0.10	-0.00	12	63%	0.18	1	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Brittney Sykes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.27
Arella Guirantes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Te'a Cooper	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	60%	0.11	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Erica Wheeler	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.11	-0.06	11	40%	-0.06	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.46,0.64	0.64	0.26	0.38	0.00	15	76%	0.72	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.06	-0.04	11	46%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Teaira McCowan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	65%	0.17	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.07
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Aaliyah Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emma Cannon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	9	22%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	IND	WNBA	LAS	IND	WNBA
this game	16.8	16.7	14.9	100.0	104.2	99.6
season	15.3	15.8		91.0	94.4
opponent	14.2	14.9		106.9	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	16.8	16.5	15.4	18.6	16.8
IND	19.5	12.1	18.8	17.7	16.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	73%	22%	5.1%	0.0%	51.2%	69.2%	0.0%
IND	0%	77%	22%	1.7%	0.0%	42.4%	57.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lauren Cox	0	0%	5	80%	2	100%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	1	150%	5	100%	1	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	11	64%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	1	0%
Arella Guirantes	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Te'a Cooper	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	7	36%	3	33%	1	0%
Sparks	0	0%	43	51%	13	69%	3	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	11	77%	4	62%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	7	29%	4	75%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Wilson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	5	20%	2	100%	1	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	7	29%	2	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	46	42%	13	58%	1	0%