WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	73		Excitement	8.3 [27]		MVP	Kahleah Copper (CHI): +54.1%
Seattle Storm	69		Comeback	4.7 [38]		LVP	Candace Parker (CHI): -27.7%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.54	0.22	0.33	0.01	16	68%	0.58	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Stefanie Dolson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.13	-0.00	7	80%	0.28	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dana Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.09	-0.03	9	33%	0.15	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Azur� Stevens	0.02	0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Astou Ndour-Fall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Lexie Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	-0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	11	35%	-0.05	5	-0.22	1	0%	-0.02

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.01	13	50%	0.26	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.13
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.19	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	9	22%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.27	-0.27	-0.03	-0.24	0.01	14	41%	-0.09	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	WNBA	CHI	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.4	14.3	14.9	86.9	83.1	99.6
season	14.5	14.2		100.4	102.5
opponent	15.5	15.0		96.7	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	14.6	14.1	13.3	14.4
SEA	13.5	14.7	13.8	15.3	14.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	74%	25%	1.4%	0.0%	43.1%	55.9%	100.0%
SEA	0%	81%	18%	1.5%	0.0%	42.7%	25.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	11	59%	4	87%	1	100%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	3	67%	4	87%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	7	21%	2	75%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	8	56%	1	0%	0	0%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	10	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	51	43%	17	56%	1	100%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	11	27%	2	50%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	6	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	3	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	7	14%	2	50%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	11	50%	2	0%	1	0%
Storm	0	0%	55	43%	12	25%	1	0%