WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	82		Excitement	8.3 [28]		MVP	Arike Ogunbowale (DAL): +45.0%
Washington Mystics	77		Comeback	4.3 [41]		LVP	Myisha Hines-Allen (WAS): -10.3%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.42,0.45	0.18	0.27	-0.00	16	62%	0.54	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.07
Isabelle Harrison	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.11	-0.01	15	64%	0.32	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Marina Mabrey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.01	9	39%	0.17	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	69%	0.26	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Bella Alarie	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awak Kuier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sydney Wiese	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.17	-0.02	8	56%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.23	0.10	0.13	0.00	6	108%	0.45	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	-0.03	12	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.14	0.01	11	55%	-0.01	3	-0.10	7	29%	-0.23

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	WNBA	DAL	WAS	WNBA
this game	16.9	14.7	14.9	109.3	100.0	99.6
season	15.5	15.0		100.6	98.3
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	17.6	16.1	16.8	16.9
WAS	13.5	17.7	14.7	13.2	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	0%	71%	26%	2.9%	0.0%	48.0%	61.1%	50.0%
WAS	0%	67%	29%	3.4%	0.0%	53.8%	67.6%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	10	70%	4	25%	2	50%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	12	58%	3	100%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	6	17%	3	83%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	4	62%	4	75%	0	0%
Bella Alarie	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Awak Kuier	0	0%	6	50%	4	37%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	49	48%	18	61%	2	50%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	2	0%	6	75%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	83%	3	133%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	10	35%	1	0%	1	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	6	83%	4	50%	1	0%
Mystics	0	0%	39	54%	17	68%	2	0%